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Contest Preview - Fiji Pro 2017

Image: our projected Fiji Pro champion threading the south Pacific needle The girls are (nearly) done and dusted and the scene is set for event 5 of the Championship Tour. There's something exciting about a Fiji contest; it's guaranteed to throw up at least one talk-of-the-line-up heat each year (remember Taj's farewell in 2016?). Warm water, great waves, the best competitive surfers in the world. What's not to like? Let's take off late and pull into the numbers: Conditions The WSL's forecasting predicts 'solid... Read more

Last updated June 1, 2017 by Balyn McDonald

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Contest Metrics - OuterKnown Fiji Pro 2017

Image: Owen Wright on his way to another perfect 10 at the 2015 event All projections and stats are taken from 2014-2017 WSL contest data. Some 2017 rookies include data from previous WSL events, but many do not have relevant results in significant categories, including data for this particular venue. Their modelling is much less reliable and they may have skewed projections due... Read more

Last updated May 29, 2017 by Surf-Stats

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Contest Wash-Up - Oi Rio Pro 2017

Rant The purpose of the first few pages in a story is to get the reader hooked. Australia served that purpose well in 2017 with its (mostly) good waves and excellent surfing. Usually the next part of the narrative arc requires some background or character development; a context through which the mounting tension can be viewed. Is that Brazil’s role? To throw out a little adversity and show us the character of this year’s tour surfers? Brazil has always kept world title contenders honest; it requires surfers to... Read more

Last updated May 18, 2017 by Balyn McDonald

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Contest Preview - Oi Rio Pro 2017

Image: Connor O'Leary laying down some Saquarema rail in 2015 If there's a more challenging event to forecast this season, I'll be amazed. We still have a much-derided Brazilian event this season, yet we have a venue that has been untested on the CT tour. Sure, there are QS stats available, as well as transferable data from similar conditions, not to mention all of our data from previous Rio events at other venues. And yet, they are all far more approximate than we usually like. For a... Read more

Last updated May 7, 2017 by Balyn McDonald

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Injury & Wildcards - Oi Rio Pro 2017

Here's the latest regarding the upcoming Oi Rio Pro: Kelly Slater - OUT Kelly has pulled out at the last minute, citing an ongoing back injury as his reason. He will seek professional rehab and hopes to be back for Fiji. He's replaced by: Bino Lopes - IN Bino surfed this event last year and finished 25th. Trials Winner - Yago Dora Read more

Last updated May 1, 2017 by Balyn McDonald

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Contest Metrics - Rio Pro 2017

Image: Kanoa proving that Saquarema isn't just a left-hander These projections and stats are taken from 2014-2017 WSL contest data. Some 2017 rookies include data from previous WSL events, but many do not have relevant results in significant categories. Their modelling is much less reliable and they may have skewed projections due to their averages being heavily influenced by a small sample size. We have included some extra details in our FS table this event,... Read more

Last updated May 1, 2017 by Surf-Stats

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Contest Wash-Up - Bells 2017

If you could personify the three Australian events of the WSL tour, and put them on notice regarding their place in the 2018 season, who would you expect to step up to the plate and prove their worth? Which event would you have laid money on to metaphorically catch a 9+ wave in the dying moments of their heat to make the next round? With all the threats of a reduced tour schedule and rumours of ins-and-outs, that’s basically what we were looking at: events competing for their spot. How... Read more

Last updated April 22, 2017 by Balyn McDonald

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Contest Preview (lite) - Bells 2017

Ok, who had JJF last event? It's hard to think of any other surfer coming into Bells, but you need a team of 8 so let's get cracking... Conditions Coastalwatch were kind enough to fill the void left by the WSL's forecasting department by dropping this excellent piece detailing all of the various breaks on offer for the Bells event (Bells, Winki, Johanna, 13th Beach, Phillip Island) as well as the upcoming forecast conditions. Click on the link and check it out, I'll wait...   Welcome back!... Read more

Last updated April 11, 2017 by Surf-Stats

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Data and Projections - Bells 2017

These projections and statistics use the 2014-2017 contest data. 2017 rookies include some data from previous WSL events where applicable and some data from the 2016 WQS. This means that they have much less reliable modelling and have skewed projections due to their averages being heavily influenced by their small sample size. Many also have no previous data that is specific to this event or its conditions. MOST MPORTANTLY, don't rely on our projections alone; we suggest that... Read more

Last updated April 10, 2017 by Surf-Stats

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Contest Wash-Up - Margies 2017

The West is Wild. “I love surfing this break, and just going fast and doing big turns.” And didn’t he just? You know: go fast, and do big turns. That’s exactly what John John did; and by gosh, he did it well. I don't remember those turns for a few years back, but we can expect to see more of them soon. Is that too understated? Y’see, I’m trying to hold back, and be the lone voice of restraint amongst the streaming tide of hyperbole. But who am I kidding;... Read more

Last updated April 10, 2017 by Balyn McDonald

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