Men's Portugal Recap
Last updated October 30, 2015 by Surf-Stats
Wow, the Moche Rip Curl Pro was intense! We saw some very unexpected results with ratings leaders Mick Fanning and Adriano de Souza eliminated in R3, Julian Wilson and Owen Wright out even earlier in R2 and Gabriel Medina unable to capitalize with a QF loss (moving up only one spot). The biggest jumps were Joel Parkinson (+5 to 13th), event winner Filipe Toledo (+4th), and PRT runner-up Italo Ferreira (+2 to 6th). This makes for a very interesting World Title race heading into the Pipe Masters.
The top 3 are separated by a mere 450 points, which means Fanning, de Souza, and Toledo control their own destiny; each can win the Title with a victory at Pipe. For 4th place Gabriel Medina, he’ll have to win Pipe, but Mick, Adriano and Toledo all must fall at 5th or worse. We’d say it’s unlikely to have the top seeds out early, but it literally just happened.
Our Tier A Trap Filipe Toledo won the event, but we also outlined the possibility for his success if the conditions ended up choppy – which they did. Our Tier A Sleeper was Italo Ferreira. Looks like almost no one took our advice as he was drafted by 0% of teams(!), bunch of crazies! Where else did we nail it? Our LOCK, Jeremy Flores, led Tier B in points (at 6% started – thank you very much) and John John Florence, who we outlined as high risk/low potential, blew it again. We’re excited for the 3-4 man Title decision, it will make for a very dramatic finale at the Pipe Masters.
While you’re waiting for our Hawaii Research Tools, here is a sortable table for how everyone performed at Portugal. Italo Ferreira was the best value pick (due to his #1 ranked AHS and 0 start percentage – still shocked about that).
Men's Portugal Recap Table
2015 Moche Rip Curl Pro Sortable Results and Pick Rating (Out of 100) based on Points, AHS and Start Percentage*Gabriel Medina Interference Not Calculated for AHS
NAME | Event Points | Event AHS | Start % | Tier | Pick Rating |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Italo Ferreira | 126.21 | 15.17 | 0 | A | 98 |
Matt Wilkinson | 50.23 | 15.12 | 12 | B | 54 |
Filipe Toledo | 129.67 | 14.95 | 30 | A | 85 |
Kolohe Andino | 72.83 | 14.57 | 4 | B | 69 |
Josh Kerr | 49.07 | 14.54 | 14 | B | 53 |
Frederico Morais | 97.88 | 14.47 | 1 | C | 83 |
Mick Fanning | 47.64 | 13.82 | 52 | A | 33 |
Caio Ibelli | 41.27 | 13.76 | 2 | C | 55 |
John John Florence | 40.96 | 13.65 | 53 | B | 29 |
Adriano de Souza | 40.5 | 13.5 | 23 | A | 44 |
Brett Simpson | 100.49 | 13.42 | 7 | C | 82 |
Jeremy Flores | 85.89 | 13.18 | 6 | B | 75 |
Gabriel Medina* (-INT) | 78.49 | 12.92 | 17 | A | 66 |
Nat Young | 70.1 | 12.53 | 14 | B | 63 |
Bede Durbidge | 44.6 | 12.3 | 14 | B | 50 |
Ricardo Christie | 36.24 | 12.08 | 9 | C | 49 |
Aritz Aranburu | 23.86 | 11.93 | 5 | C | 44 |
Joel Parkinson | 71.27 | 11.88 | 43 | B | 49 |
Miguel Pupo | 23.43 | 11.72 | 5 | B | 44 |
Owen Wright | 23.44 | 11.72 | 16 | A | 39 |
Vasco Ribeiro | 90 | 11.67 | 1 | C | 80 |
Sebastian Zietz | 34.17 | 11.39 | 10 | B | 47 |
Wiggolly Dantas | 22.64 | 11.32 | 22 | B | 35 |
Tomas Hermes | 22.57 | 11.29 | 2 | C | 45 |
C.J. Hobgood | 32.96 | 10.99 | 22 | C | 40 |
Kelly Slater | 41.96 | 10.98 | 19 | A | 46 |
Julian Wilson | 21.76 | 10.88 | 23 | A | 34 |
Michel Bourez | 53.29 | 10.66 | 5 | B | 59 |
Keanu Asing | 59.39 | 9.85 | 2 | B | 64 |
Mason Ho | 27.55 | 9.18 | 4 | C | 47 |
Glenn Hall | 18.24 | 9.12 | 3 | C | 43 |
Adrian Buchan | 18.1 | 9.05 | 9 | B | 40 |
Jadson Andre | 17.87 | 8.94 | 9 | B | 39 |
Adam Melling | 17.74 | 8.87 | 3 | C | 42 |
Kai Otton | 17.01 | 8.51 | 10 | B | 39 |
Tiago Pires | 16.34 | 8.17 | 2 | C | 42 |